Thursday, February 9, 2012

Highest NAV Guaranteed Plans


After the recent crash of the markets in the last few years, cautious investors were now looking for safe equity linked product (as mutual funds also fell to the same extent as markets). They wanted safe investments and also wished to enjoy high returns of the equity markets. Seeing this requirement of an unusual product, many companies launched schemes under the name of "Highest NAV Guaranteed Plans" to take advantage of those investors who burnt their fingers by investing in markets during the same period.
These schemes come with a lock in of 7-15 years wherein you’ll be able to redeem your investments at an NAV which was highest during these 7 years. Let’s say, the NAV of the scheme was Rs 55 in the 6th year but during the time of redemption it comes down to Rs 48; however you will not be impacted by this fall since your investments will be redeemed at Rs 55. These products don’t actually offer what you think they are offering. That is, they do not offer equity returns that never fall. Instead, they offer an investment system with a very long lock-in (seven to ten years) in which protection is achieved by progressively putting your gains in a fixed income assets which will give returns far more slowly than a pure equity option .These plans use strategies like Dynamic Hedging and CPPI (Constant proportion portfolio insurance) techniques.
An example will give better understanding of the things.

At the Start of the Scheme


NFO issues the units at Rs. 10.

A part of the fund is invested in the debt market while the rest in equities.
Investments in debt secure your principal while in equities give you higher returns.
Thus the product as a whole is designed to give you safe and secure investments taking only a limited risk.

Sunday, February 5, 2012

Beta - Derivation for Conceptual Understanding

A few days back as stock volatility was being discussed in class and Bhatia Sir had mentioned how Beta (hereafter denoted as "B") was the ratio of covariance (stock,market)/variance (market); I tried to search the mathematical relation for the same and wondered how the risk premium formula is deduced as well. I couldn't find it so I tried myself; I think I have got the derivation of B and have linked it to both - regression theory and risk premium approach. I present that derivation here in the hope that it will help clarify the concept of beta for all those who need it as it did for me -

Sunday, January 8, 2012

Securitization of debt



Securitization of debt is a very important concept as far as banking and some derivative instruments are concerned.
Securitization and Swaps are the main causes that lead to the sub-prime crises in the United States.
To understand what exactly a sub-prime crisis is we will first have to understand the process of securitization of debt.
Let’s take a look at a bank’s (Hypothetical) balance sheet.

Liabilities
Amount
Assets                                    
Amount
Equity Capital


Deposits from Public(NDTL)
1000


500
Fixed Assets
CRR(6% of NDTL)
SLR(24% of NDTL)


Loans given to public
Housing Loan
Car loan
Personal Loan

Net current Assets(incl.Cash)
600
30
120



120
70
160

400
Total
1500
Total
1500















As we can see the total deposits from the public is 500 and 30% of the deposits has been kept aside as reserve requirements. The remaining 70% which is 350 can be used for lending. The bank has a portfolio of housing, car and personal loans. The bank earns profit from the spread of lending and borrowing rates.
Let's assume the Borrowing rates to be 10%
and lending rates as follows:
Housing Loans : 12%
Car Loan : 15%
Personal Loan :18%.

Income statement (hypothetical)
Particulars
Amount

Interest from lending
Housing
Car
Personal

Total Income


Expenses

Interest on borrowed funds
Other Expenses

Total expenditure


Net profit


14.4
10.5
28.8

53.7




50
1

51


2.7
 As we can see there is no scope for the bank to earn more money unless the deposit base is increased or the bank borrows from the market and lends. Let's assume the quantum of deposit to be constant and also it is not in favor to borrow from the market and lend (i.e. it is not interested in increasing the size of the balance sheet).
Now the bank sees a great opportunity to earn profit in credit card lending (lending rate 20%). But since it has no more funds to lend it cannot tap that credit card loan markets. The only option is to get off the existing portfolios of loans (i.e. to en-cash the loans).The encashment of loans is done by selling off the portfolio of loans to the SPV (explained later). The Car loans and personal loans will be recovered in a relatively short period of time when compared to housing loans which range from a tenure of 5 - 25 years.
Divesting from the current loan portfolio is called SECURITIZATION OF DEBT.
These loans are colloquially called debt in the financial arena.

The process of Securitization follows:
 An entity called a SPECIAL PURPOSE VEHICLE is created (which is usually a trust). The bank then sells off its debt (in this case the housing loan worth 120) to this SPV and in return gets the said amount in cash. The SPV in turn issues securities (just like a debt instrument) called COLLATERALIZED DEBT OBLIGATION (CDO) for a fixed interest. The retail investors then subscribe to these CDO’s and become the owner of the debt to the extent they hold the amount of CDO. As and when the housing loan holder pays off his debt with the interest, the CDO holders get their fixed interest payment promised by the SPV.
This process can be better understood with the help of a diagram.
                                                                                                                          
  This Securitization Leads to the following changes in the balance sheet

1) Bank
Liabilities
Amount
Assets                                    
Amount
Equity Capital


Deposits from Public(NDTL)
1000


500
Fixed Assets
CRR(6% of NDTL)
SLR(24% of NDTL)


Loans given to public
Car loan
Personal Loan

 Net current Assets(incl.Cash)
600
30
120



70
160

520
Total
1500
Total
1500

















Now the bank has an extra cash of Rs.120 to lend towards credit card loans on which it can earn a higher amount of interest which would ultimately lead to increase in its Net Interest Margin.


2) Special Purpose Vehicle
Liabilities
Amount
Assets                                    
Amount

CDO’s Issued

120




Housing Loan



120

Total
120
Total
120











As and when the loan holder pays their EMI’s the CDO holders get their promised interest and at the end of the tenure of the housing loans the Debt holders will get their principal back.

This is a simplistic model of an SPV there are many variants which can be looked into.



Conclusion:

 The Securitization process leads to liquidity to the banks and gives the banks an avenue to offload their less interest bearing Loans and invest in more interest bearing Loans.
And as far as the investors are concerned they get an opportunity to invest in the securities which earns more income than the conventional Fixed Deposits and debt instruments.
Although this seems to be very much beneficial to the banks as well as investors it is a double edged sword if not handled properly would lead to situations like the Sub-Prime crises that took the whole economy to a toss in the USA.

The mechanism and consequence of improper use of this facility is explained as follows

Banks which used to lend to the creditworthy borrowers only now would become lax and would start lending to the people whose credibility is questionable i.e. their payback capacity won’t be strong as the banks know that they have a safer exit option from these loans via securitization. And investors who are not fully aware of the portfolio of the loans take a hit. This is where the onus lies on the credit rating agencies which give ratings to the CDO’s Issued by the SPV. The Portfolio if not properly evaluated which happened in case of USA would cause pain to the investors having the CDO’s as their money could be wiped off if the Loan holder default.

Opportunities for finance professionals.

This is for finance professionals to understand the opportunities available to them in public, private and non profit organisations. I have covered some of the areas where finance professionals have excellent scope. As per my corporate experience I have jotted down some areas of finance that are available in the market. So to get an idea where would we want to be!!!


1. COMMERCIAL BANKING : With burgeoning incomes and deregulation of banking sector, there are a large number of banks offering a wide range of services to consumers. Today banking goes far beyond just maintaining a savings account. It's more about wealth management. A career in banking offers opportunities in accounts, securities, commodities , financial management, financial and credit analysis and sales of financial services. Treasury management is also an important function in banking operations. Examples : SBI, CITIBANK.


2. INVESTMENT/MERCHANT BANKING: Investment bankers help companies and government issue stocks and securities. They help investors in buying and selling these securities and manage their financial assets. They also provide financial advice to companies and high networth individuals. Example: JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley,ICICI Bank.


3.MONEY MANAGEMENT: Money Managers holds stocks and bonds for institutional clients. They also sell these stocks and bonds and reinvest the funds to ensure that their clients earn a good rate of return on the money invested. Money managers also provide clients with advice on their financial investments.Fund Managers managing the portfolio management.
Example :Mutual funds such as Kotak Mahindra ,HDFC Mutual fund.


4.CORPORATE FINANCE : Employees working for large corporates and Non banking financial companies raise money to run the business, deploy the funds to make the existing business grow, make acquisitions and plan for financial future of the business.


5. Management Consultancy: Consultants help clients restructure the financial aspects of their business. Also help their clients in mergers and acquisitions. Example: Ernst and Young, Pricewaterhouse coopers.


6. Insurance: Finance professionals can help the individuals and businesses manage risk to protect themselves from accident/losses. Example: ING Vysya, Max New york.

Saturday, January 7, 2012

A Carrot, an Egg or a Coffee bean?

       The following is a nice story courtesy Global Marathi (A nice lesson for us Management Students) :


Note: Since Amey has put a cap on the length of the post, I have just shared the story. I had shared it in context of certain incidences on my blog Livin' Free ( visit A Carrot, an Egg or a Coffee Bean? for the full context )


         A young woman went to her mother and told her about her life and how things were so hard for her. She did not know how she was going to make it and wanted to give up. She was tired of fighting and struggling. It seemed as when one problem was solved, a new one arose. Her mother took her to the kitchen. She filled three pots with water and placed each on a high fire. Soon the pots came to boil. In the first she placed carrots, in the second she placed eggs, and in the last she placed ground coffee beans. She let them sit and boil without saying a word. In about twenty minutes she turned off the burners. She fished out the carrots, pulled out the eggs, ladled out the coffee and placed each in a separate bowl. Then, turning to her daughter, she asked, ' Tell me what you see.' 'Carrots, Eggs and Coffee.' the daughter replied. Her mother brought her closer and asked her to feel the carrots. She did and noted that they were soft. The mother then asked the daughter to take an egg and break it. After pulling off the shell, she observed the hardboiled egg. Finally, the mother asked the daughter to sip the coffee. The daughter smiled as she experienced its rich aroma. The daughter then asked, 'What does it mean, mother?'